Bitcoin Pin $88,000! CoinShares: The BTC Reserve Company’s speculative bubble has burst, can the Fed’s interest rate cut next week save it?

👤 45ux@Queen 📅 2026-02-03 17:33:36

Although the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates next week remains high, Bitcoin still touched $88,000 earlier, and the recent mNAV of the cryptocurrency treasury company DAT also fell from a high to 1x.
(Preliminary summary: The core PCE of the United States in September was lower than expected and "inflation is under control"! Bitcoin rebounded to exceed US$91,000, and Ethereum stood at $3100)
(Background supplement: Is the December interest rate cut confirmed? The Fed's mouthpiece: the inflation data has risen moderately)

Contents of this article

At 11 o'clock yesterday (5th) night, the United States announced that this year's 9 Monthly personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data: The core PCE price index recorded an annual growth rate of 2.8%, lower than the 2.9% expected by economists, and slightly lower than the previous value in August; the monthly growth rate was in line with expectations of 0.2%.

The index is one of the inflation indicators that the Federal Reserve (Fed) pays attention to. Last night’s data maintained the market’s bets that the Fed will start cutting interest rates next week and even cut them multiple times next year. CME Group's FedWatch tool shows expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by another 25 basis points at next week's FOMC meeting remain at nearly 90%.

U.S. stocks rose but Bitcoin fell below $90,000

After the news was announced, the four major U.S. stock indexes rose. At the close, the Dow Jones rose 104 points (+0.22%), the S&P 500 rose 0.31%, the Nasdaq rose 0.19%, the fee half strengthened 1.09%, and TSMC ADR also rose 0.61%.

However, although Bitcoin once broke through US$91,000, it quickly turned around and plunged down to US$88,000. At the time of writing, BTC is currently trading at US$89,306, down 3.51% in the past 24 hours. Is the current market a healthy correction, or is it about to start the next wave of decline? There are mixed opinions in the community.

Bitcoin Pin $88,000! CoinShares: BTC The speculative bubble of reserve companies has burst. Can the Fed cut interest rates next week to save it? </p><h3>CoinShares: The speculative bubble of Bitcoin concept stocks has officially burst</h3><p>Just earlier this week, the latest analysis by James Butterfill, director of research at CoinShares, also pointed out: The speculative bubble of Bitcoin concept stocks has officially burst. The stock price valuation of these companies has dropped from 3 to 10 times the net asset value (mNAV) in the summer to only 1 currently. times, some are even traded at a discount. </p><p>Six months ago, investors were willing to pay a premium much higher than the book value of their currency holdings in order to bet on the rise of Bitcoin. Now that the market has been repriced, the structural problem of lack of stable cash flow and reliance on issuing new shares to buy currency has fully emerged. </p><h3>Rebuilding confidence depends on interest rate cuts and transformation</h3><p>As for the next strategy, Butterfill proposed two possibilities: price failure triggers selling, or companies choose to hold positions (HODL) and wait for a rebound. He personally leans toward the latter, and cautioned that a possible rate cut in December would provide support for Bitcoin. Butterfill said:</p><blockquote><p>This trading model that once regarded token vaults as a growth engine has experienced a violent correction. Only companies with stable cash flow have the opportunity to regain valuation premiums. </p></blockquote>

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45ux@Queen

45ux@Queen

Blockchain and cryptoassets editor, focusing onmarketDomain content analysis and insights

Comment (10)

Benjamin 29days ago
Are the rise and fall of currency prices related to the performance of the blockchain network itself?
Ian 29days ago
The scene of the combination of the Metaverse and the blockchain is still very vague.
Keith 29days ago
How are assets actually transferred across chains?
Lloyd 29days ago
The DAO organization will have more practices in the future.
Dylan 29days ago
How do forks happen?
Elijah 29days ago
The article has a unique perspective and is worthy of in-depth consideration.
Victor 29days ago
Too many projects are reinventing the wheel, resulting in serious waste of resources.
Clifford 39days ago
The article is well written and I have collected it.
Tessa 54days ago
The ecology will be more perfect in the future.
Bonita 56days ago
Can you really make money by playing chain games?

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